Ronald L. Krannich, Ph.D.
Welcome to Impact Publications, your one-stop center for thousands of life-changing resources on employment, education, life skills, and travel. Since founding the company in 1982, my mission has been very clear: produce and distribute the best resources to help individuals and institutions transform lives.
MORE...
Product Types
  Audiobooks
Books
Workbooks
Cards
Curriculums/Programs
e-Books
Games
Instructional Materials
Instruments
Kits/Series/Programs
Our Pocket Guides
Pamphlets/Booklets
Posters
Software/CDs/Multimedia
DVDs
Subject Categories
  NEW or Recently Added!
Assessment
Bullying
Career & Tech Education
Career Exploration
Domestic Abuse
Dress/Image/Etiquette
GSA Schedule
Hiring/Retention/Firing
Interviewing
Life Skills & Brain Health
Networking & Social Media
Our Pocket Guides
Parents and Child Rearing
Recruitment/Headhunters
Resumes & Applications
GET COMPLETE LIST OF SUBJECTS
Special Collections
  Addiction & Recovery
Anger Management
Attitude & Motivation
Disabilities
Education
Entrepreneurs
Executives/$100,000+
Ex-Offenders & Prisons
Families & Relationships
Government/Law Enforcement
Health & Nutrition
International & Travel
Literacy & Communic. Skills
Military
Minorities & Immigrants
Retirement/Seniors
Women
About Us
  About Us
In the News
The Impact Guides
Our Pocket Guides
Our Authors
Links & Exchanges
Media Kit
Special Sales
Submissions
Privacy Policy
Contact Us
Our Other Sites
  ExOffenderReEntry
Veterans World
Great Water Destinations
Facebook
Google+
LinkedIn
Twitter
 
A Secure Site

The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
6286
The highly improbable underlies almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives.
Your Price: $26.95

Detailed Description


By Nassim Nicholas Taleb

A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was.

The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For the author, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. But why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur?

Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know, and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know.

We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the "impossible."

For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. Now, in this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know. He offers surprisingly simple tricks for dealing with black swans and benefiting from them.

Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. This is a landmark book - itself a black swan. 366 pages. Hardcover. 2007.

0707

 
 
 

Items in your Cart: 0  

Current Subtotal:$0.00


Checkout Button

download button
overseas ordering instructions
join email list
new titles
gsa titles
catalogs and flyers
 
 
catalogs
Catalogs
 
flyers
Flyers
 
Our Other Websites
Ex-offender Re-entry website
   
VeteransWorld website